Releases, research, and what's coming next from the engine team.
ENGINE UPGRADE · HONG KONG The Hong Kong Lock: We Stopped Forecasting the City and Started Reading It June 3, 2026 Polymarket settles every Hong Kong temperature market on a single number — the official daily maximum logged by the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). For one city, that t…
IN DEVELOPMENT · ALPHA Wiring WeatherNext 2 Into the Engine April 21, 2026 We've started on what is, by some distance, the biggest forecast-accuracy upgrade we've ever attempted: folding Google DeepMind's WeatherNext 2 into the StormBot probability core. If we land it cleanly, it…
MAJOR RELEASE Engine v2 Shipped — Faster Streams, Wider Books, Tighter AI April 14, 2026 Engine v2 is live. This was not a UI patch or a feature tweak — it is a ground-up rebuild. New infrastructure, a new trading core, a new dashboard and a noticeably different experience for ev…
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT When StormBot Might Close Its Doors — A Plain Update March 29, 2026 It's time for a candid conversation with the community about where StormBot goes from here. The growth we've seen over the last several months has been off-the-charts — and it has forced us…
MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT Gemini, TensorFlow & Our Own Weather Station — What Comes Next March 26, 2026 We're putting together something that, as far as we can tell, no prediction-market trader has done before: owning the data pipeline end to end. Most bots in this space stop at public …
NEW FEATURE The Self-Improving Loop — Every Closed Trade Teaches the Engine March 26, 2026 Most trading bots are frozen in time. The logic they run today is the logic they ran on day one. If they made a bad trade once, they will happily make the same bad trade tomorrow. We decide…
DEVELOPMENT ROADMAP What's On The Build List Right Now March 26, 2026 The team is operating round the clock to push StormBot further than any other prediction-market trading stack in production. This is not a side project. It is a full-time operation that consumes a meaningful ch…
ENGINEERING UPDATE The Browser Heartbeat That Conserves Claude Credits March 26, 2026 Some honesty up front: running this engine is expensive on the AI side. Every five minutes, Claude reviews fifteen books — fifteen separate API calls, each carrying a fully briefed meteorologica…
STRATEGY UPDATE ★ 15-BUY BURST RECOMMENDED The Two Modes: Continuous and 15-Buy Burst March 2026 · Updated May 18, 2026 to match the live engine StormBot keeps it deliberately simple. There are exactly two run modes, and they share the same brain — the same four-model forecast, t…
GUIDE How the Engine Finds the Edge A six-stage walkthrough of the full pipeline 01 Locate weather books The discovery layer queries Polymarket's Gamma API filtered by the weather tag, surfacing somewhere between 200 and 1,200 active books at any given moment. Each book carries m…